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Earth sciences
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Climate Change Centre Austria, Vienna (Austria)
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Matthias Schwarz
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University of Oslo
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The aerosol-cloud interaction has been much explored in recent studies because of its high uncertain contribution to the anthropogenic forcing of climate change. The high uncertainty relies on the high difficulty in understanding the multiple processes and players involved, related to the non-linearity between the change in aerosols and multiple cloud properties. Earth system models are an indispensable tool to predict the future climate. They are process-based models, and they are directly affected by the uncertainty in the understanding of the aerosol-cloud dynamics. The present work investigates the ability of the CMIP6 models to reproduce the relationship between the cloud droplet number concentration (CDNC) and the aerosol optical depth (AOD), taken as a proxy of the number of aerosols (or CCN, cloud condensation nuclei). First a comparison between the modelled and observed AOD (data was not available for CDNC) was conducted to individuate the best performance within the models in reproducing this variable. The observational data were from MODIS data and the comparison was done on the climatological mean over the 2000-2014 period. Using different statistical parameters, a ranking was produced and the model GFDL-ESM4 resulted to better perform over the other models. Afterwards, in order to account for the non-linearity of the process, joint histogram have been used to reproduce the relationship between AOD and CDNC. The objective was to compare the modelled results on a global and local scale with the MODIS data from the study Gryspeerdt et al 2016, in order to see if the model could capture the complex relationship. The different time resolution didn’t allow to proceed to a direct comparison of the plots, but they result to be compatible, leading to the conclusion that GFDL-ESM4 model is able to well reproduce this interaction. The importance of separating the analysis into the liquid water content and the ice content is also appreciated, which is even more evident in regional analysis. Further investigations are needed to better compare and quantify the performance of the CMIP6 models in reproducing the observed aerosol-cloud interaction.
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OCTOPUS project - explOring aerosol-Cloud inTeractiOns in CMIP6 models Using joint-histogramS
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http://schema.org/name
atmospheric sciences
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http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#FieldOfResearch
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#normScore
100.0
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#score
0.9981259703636169
https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/1f534382-e8ea-4062-96a9-874f98b81161
http://schema.org/name
physics
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https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/1f534382-e8ea-4062-96a9-874f98b81161
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#normScore
73.52941176470588
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#score
7.5
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http://schema.org/name
aerosol-cloud interaction
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http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#Lemma
https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/3babef60-f191-44dd-9378-6c877984b776
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#normScore
14.908256880733944
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#score
6.5
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http://schema.org/name
cloud property
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http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type
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https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/4990337c-7925-435a-86dc-0fbfc70f3b6b
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#normScore
17.906976744186046
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#score
7.7
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http://schema.org/name
operation
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http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#Concept
https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/4ae1b7b0-9ec2-4d56-b5b4-48ff9cc9682a
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#normScore
7.969639468690703
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#score
4.2
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http://schema.org/name
aerosol-cloud dynamics
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http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#Phrase
https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/4b0b9fc2-3a97-4caa-81c1-3448f6abd638
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#normScore
31.3953488372093
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#score
13.5
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http://schema.org/name
aerosol
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http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#Lemma
https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/4b86f550-6d8f-464e-bdf6-dc29fe659212
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#normScore
11.926605504587156
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#score
5.2
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http://schema.org/name
data
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http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#Concept
https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/4f8bfe76-a64f-453a-944d-7f4940c0284e
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#normScore
11.57495256166983
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#score
6.1
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http://schema.org/name
investigation
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http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#Concept
https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/5f7f3fc3-9013-4688-9e10-56ad0074de60
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#normScore
7.400379506641367
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#score
3.9
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http://schema.org/name
The aerosol-cloud interaction has been much explored in recent studies because of its high uncertain contribution to the anthropogenic forcing of climate change.
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#Sentence
https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/60f4af03-22a1-45b8-9828-12dc38533554
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#normScore
34.550561797752806
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#score
12.3
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http://schema.org/name
cloud
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http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#Lemma
https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/7e7750ba-68c6-4867-994d-574bcc8476ef
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#normScore
16.513761467889907
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#score
7.2
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http://schema.org/name
Climate change
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#IPTC
https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/8da9de59-ffd7-4376-b7e4-353d2436afda
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#path
Environment/Climate change
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http://schema.org/name
over the 2000-2014 period
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http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#TimeReference
https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/93cd8876-f5f7-445f-91b2-114ff3ebdeb8
http://schema.org/name
MODIS data
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https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/93cd8876-f5f7-445f-91b2-114ff3ebdeb8
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#normScore
12.55813953488372
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5.4
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http://schema.org/name
interaction
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http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#Concept
https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/ac9efc43-7af5-460b-bd14-2661fb336efa
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#normScore
15.37001897533207
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#score
8.1
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http://schema.org/name
GFDL-ESM4
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#Lemma
https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/aecf1a73-e16f-432d-8431-7f63cbc5a713
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#normScore
13.073394495412844
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#score
5.7
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http://schema.org/name
They are process-based models, and they are directly affected by the uncertainty in the understanding of the aerosol-cloud dynamics.
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#Sentence
https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/b0b4346d-3196-4c93-9265-8a2527fd49b1
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#normScore
28.089887640449437
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#score
10.0
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http://schema.org/name
cloud
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http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#Concept
https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/b1b8e228-3cf8-483f-909c-3cce382a53e8
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#normScore
17.4573055028463
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#score
9.2
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http://schema.org/name
meteorology
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https://w3id.org/contentdesc#Domain
https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/b504712e-53d9-4a01-8467-4fa3f67801b4
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#normScore
26.47058823529412
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#score
2.7
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http://schema.org/name
CMIP6
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#Lemma
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#normScore
15.137614678899082
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#score
6.6
https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/c39cb44b-db08-41ea-b422-2e83ae3ba1ce
http://schema.org/name
OCTOPUS project - explOring aerosol-Cloud inTeractiOns in CMIP6 models Using joint-histogramS.
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http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#Sentence
https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/c39cb44b-db08-41ea-b422-2e83ae3ba1ce
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#normScore
37.359550561797754
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#score
13.3
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http://schema.org/name
exploring aerosol-cloud interaction
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#Phrase
https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/d412db06-a62a-4aa6-a2ef-d0cef4bba0c0
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#normScore
24.651162790697676
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#score
10.6
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http://schema.org/name
aerosol
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http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#Concept
https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/d4136a89-5575-4238-b695-f0a06796dd6e
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#normScore
22.011385199240987
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#score
11.6
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http://schema.org/name
Weather
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#IPTC
https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/dbd3c1a4-581a-4381-9037-277f8ed084b1
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#path
Weather
https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/e1068b7c-9426-4218-9766-0f77b85c8375
http://schema.org/name
cloud condensation nucleus
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http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#Phrase
https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/e1068b7c-9426-4218-9766-0f77b85c8375
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#normScore
13.488372093023257
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#score
5.8
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http://schema.org/name
geosciences
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http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#NASA
https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/e5493d99-b35c-4bc2-a959-cf2f8ea8b096
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#normScore
100.0
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#score
0.5867840647697449
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http://schema.org/name
interaction
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#Lemma
https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/ec80ea63-9126-41ea-b202-74ad2c315178
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#normScore
15.36697247706422
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#score
6.7
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http://schema.org/name
meteorology and climatology
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http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#NASA
https://w3id.org/ro-id/enrichment/ee758d49-d797-4ad7-8385-30dc48447a08
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#normScore
100.0
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#score
0.5867840647697449
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http://schema.org/name
aerosol optical depth
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http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type
https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#Lemma
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#normScore
13.073394495412844
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#score
5.7
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http://schema.org/name
Science and technology
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https://w3id.org/ro/terms/earth-science#IPTC
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