@prefix this: <https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RA51YMjEluCKKQWWIuB9_SBU88dgCaonVuqtS4CspPiUE> .
@prefix sub: <https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RA51YMjEluCKKQWWIuB9_SBU88dgCaonVuqtS4CspPiUE/> .
@prefix np: <http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#> .
@prefix rdf: <http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#> .
@prefix prov: <http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#> .
@prefix npx: <http://purl.org/nanopub/x/> .
@prefix dc: <http://purl.org/dc/terms/> .
@prefix xsd: <http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#> .

sub:Head {
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sub:assertion {
  sub:soroye-iberia-replication-phase3 a <https://w3id.org/sciencelive/o/terms/FORRT-Replication-Study>,
      <https://w3id.org/sciencelive/o/terms/Replication-Study>;
    <http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label> "Iberian regional replication of Soroye et al. 2020 using open GBIF Bombus occurrence data";
    <http://www.w3.org/2004/02/skos/core#related> <http://www.wikidata.org/entity/Q1141466>,
      <http://www.wikidata.org/entity/Q123509>, <http://www.wikidata.org/entity/Q125928>,
      <http://www.wikidata.org/entity/Q12837>, <http://www.wikidata.org/entity/Q1531570>,
      <http://www.wikidata.org/entity/Q250388>, <http://www.wikidata.org/entity/Q28865>,
      <http://www.wikidata.org/entity/Q2922293>;
    <https://w3id.org/sciencelive/o/terms/hasDeviationDescription> """  Three intentional deviations from the original lme4/MCMC implementation:                                                                        
  (i) the species random effect is fit by variational Bayes (statsmodels.BinomialBayesMixedGLM) rather than full MCMC, a fast approximation that typically underestimates posterior credible-interval width by approximately 10–20%;                                                                                                                                         
  (ii) the climateLimits[[1]]/[[2]] precomputation step is reconstructed from the available R helper scripts because the precomputation script itself is not in the public Figshare release of the original code;                                                                                                   
  (iii) the input occurrence dataset is replaced with an open GBIF Iberian Bombus query (https://doi.org/10.15468/dl.3frmsq) rather than the authors' curated continental dataset; this is the deliberate experimental change that makes the study a regional replication. """;
    <https://w3id.org/sciencelive/o/terms/hasDiscipline> <http://www.wikidata.org/entity/Q7150>;
    <https://w3id.org/sciencelive/o/terms/hasMethodologyDescription> """  The Python re-implementation of Soroye et al. 2020's pipeline (weatherxbiodiversity, https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19756173) was applied to a regional dataset of Bombus occurrences for Spain and Portugal retrieved from the GBIF Occurrence Download API (https://doi.org/10.15468/dl.3frmsq, 36,560 records, georeferenced, no geospatial issues, accessed 2026-04-25). The cleaning pipeline applies Soroye's species filter, IUCN exclusion list, the same baseline-vs-recent presence/absence construction on a 100 km cylindrical equal-area grid, and per-species Thermal Exposure Index (TEI) and                                                            
  Precipitation Exposure Index (PEI) computed from CRU TS 3.24.01 monthly climate. The mixed-effects logistic GLMM is fit with the species random effect and the same fixed-effect interactions as the original (thermal-position baseline + delta + their interaction, precipitation analogues, baseline × baseline interaction, delta × delta interaction). The GBIF download was minted specifically for this study via          
  notebooks/01b_gbif_download_doi.py in the same repository.  """;
    <https://w3id.org/sciencelive/o/terms/hasScopeDescription> "  The complete claim — that local extirpation rate in bumble bee species rises with the frequency at which local temperatures exceed species-specific historically observed thermal tolerances — is tested on an independent regional dataset of bumble bee occurrences for the Iberian Peninsula (Spain and Portugal). The regression specification, response variable, grid resolution, and baseline-vs-recent period definitions all match those used in the Phase 2 Python port; only the input occurrence dataset is replaced.";
    <https://w3id.org/sciencelive/o/terms/targetsClaim> <https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RArj4912Wm6DO0Y-sR8KeaJsZUKrVcJHWArmINg-kaOhs/weather-biodiversity> .
}

sub:provenance {
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sub:pubinfo {
  <https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1784-2920> <http://xmlns.com/foaf/0.1/name> "Anne Fouilloux" .
  
  this: dc:created "2026-04-25T12:59:22.004Z"^^xsd:dateTime;
    dc:creator <https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1784-2920>;
    dc:license <https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/>;
    npx:introduces sub:soroye-iberia-replication-phase3;
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    <http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label> "NP created using Declaring a replication study design according to FORRT";
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